Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006634 0.007431 0.008299 0.009317 0.010479 0.011770 0.013314
2025-02-16 0.005387 0.006481 0.007774 0.009423 0.011485 0.013995 0.017307
2025-02-23 0.004599 0.005794 0.007281 0.009289 0.011955 0.015413 0.020300
2025-03-02 0.004143 0.005417 0.007075 0.009419 0.012694 0.017177 0.023900
2025-03-09 0.003726 0.005025 0.006778 0.009356 0.013116 0.018509 0.027028
2025-03-16 0.003289 0.004552 0.006306 0.008972 0.013007 0.019030 0.028981
2025-03-23 0.003024 0.004288 0.006094 0.008926 0.013366 0.020255 0.032151
2025-03-30 0.002918 0.004239 0.006181 0.009326 0.014437 0.022690 0.037613
2025-04-06 0.002655 0.003931 0.005850 0.009035 0.014364 0.023251 0.039934
2025-04-13 0.002437 0.003672 0.005569 0.008793 0.014334 0.023864 0.042407
2025-04-20 0.002294 0.003517 0.005437 0.008779 0.014683 0.025158 0.046314
2025-04-27 0.002231 0.003485 0.005497 0.009087 0.015622 0.027612 0.052822
2025-05-04 0.002090 0.003319 0.005331 0.009007 0.015879 0.028889 0.057292
2025-05-11 0.001988 0.003213 0.005260 0.009089 0.016453 0.030859 0.063595
2025-05-18 0.001863 0.003055 0.005085 0.008961 0.016605 0.031996 0.068247
2025-05-25 0.001789 0.002981 0.005048 0.009086 0.017263 0.034253 0.075862
2025-06-01 0.001694 0.002861 0.004921 0.009025 0.017535 0.035723 0.081866
2025-06-08 0.001563 0.002671 0.004651 0.008657 0.017127 0.035647 0.084009
2025-06-15 0.001488 0.002574 0.004547 0.008613 0.017401 0.037139 0.090469
2025-06-22 0.001473 0.002587 0.004649 0.008997 0.018652 0.041062 0.104236
2025-06-29 0.001377 0.002444 0.004443 0.008718 0.018386 0.041324 0.107851
2025-07-06 0.001295 0.002320 0.004265 0.008485 0.018201 0.041761 0.112073
2025-07-13 0.001243 0.002252 0.004192 0.008471 0.018528 0.043533 0.120660